Degrees of Satoshi

Original research / Old Bitcoin

EDITION 1.0.0 · ACCEPTED RESEARCH · OBSERVED THROUGH BLOCK 969,615 · 2026-10-02

Old Bitcoin.
What happened next?

When a long-dormant output is finally spent, the first transaction is only the beginning. Follow the immediate receiving outputs at 7, 30 and 90 days—without turning a transfer into a claim of sale.

22cohort addresses
9qualifying transactions
80009.36702742dormant BTC inputs
22/22index histories completed
Qualifying transactions by month · observed cohort only
2025-078
2025-121

Follow the receiving outputs

Qualifying spending events and immediate receiving-output follow-up
Spending eventDormant inputs · BTCAge scope7 days30 days90 days
2025-12-26
80a37e585381…325dd83
0.000010001 inputs
5–10 years
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
138e8e608fc4…98d45fe
10009.2625211646 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
94a703930257…1397d68
10000.0102785634 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
9e5247f317e2…df64d45
10000.0102610732 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
9e8dc161ffa9…882bcac
10000.0343819344 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
41f351e47a05…634f872
10000.0102548431 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
702c8af9e767…04997aa
10000.0118022040 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
6ba8cefee9a9…45a3b42
10000.0162322458 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
2025-07-04
9d5d67169a37…6ef9045
10000.0112854244 inputs
5–10 years, 10+ years
0 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent
1 / 1
outputs spent

The cohort, including quiet addresses

Every registered cohort member, including those with no qualifying event
AddressCatalogue recordHistory coverage
12c6DSiU4Rq3…BrzjrJXPatoshi-Pattern Early Mining Set (2009-2010)complete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
12cbQLTFMXRn…FtpTu3SPatoshi-Pattern Early Mining Set (2009-2010); Hal Finney — Recipient of the First Bitcoin Transaction (Block 170)complete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
12ib7dApVFvg…yiAN1drDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
12tkqA9xSoow…5YEBqkvDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
12tLs9c9RsAL…Smxj2me2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
14YK4mzJGo5N…t795Gec2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
15VjRaDX9zpb…7ixHNsCThe Bitcoin Faucet (2010) — Published Donation Addresscomplete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
15Z5YJaaNSxe…n1Hu6RXDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
167ZWTT8n6s4…Y31vmHgDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
198aMn6ZYAcz…fy4g3HiDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1A1zP1eP5QGe…7DivfNaGenesis Block Coinbase (Block 0)complete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1BAFWQhH9pNk…VCkc3fV2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1CPaziTqeEix…EAotZom2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1f1miYFQWTzd…AWPUccr2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1F34duy2eeMz…BsnAyWCDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1HLvaTs3zR3o…fg6XYJTDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1KbrSKrT3GeE…brAWJYm2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1LdRcdxfbSnm…VfBEQeCDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1P1iThxBH542…wpvSbrt2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1PeizMg76Cf9…ozU5zGWDormant Bitcoin Addresses: Nine On-Chain Recordscomplete-within-index
Both provider address indexes report zero spent outputs. P2PK-normalized history is outside address-index coverage.
1Q2TWHE3GMdB…Ft5Jvm3Hal Finney — Recipient of the First Bitcoin Transaction (Block 170)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.
1ucXXZQSEf4z…PTUKRtt2011 Eight-Wallet Whale (awakened July 2025)complete-within-index
No qualifying movement means none found within the stated address-index coverage.

What this study can establish

  1. Purposive cohort: 22 normalized addresses from six accepted catalogue records. This is not a representative sample of Bitcoin owners.
  2. Search begins in 2014; five calendar years of output inactivity is required, using UTC block timestamps. A 29 February anniversary falls on 28 February in non-leap years. Amounts sum qualifying inputs only.
  3. Address-indexed histories can omit P2PK-normalized and multisig representations. Coverage and pagination limitations are reported per member.
  4. Immediate receiving-output follow-up does not allocate old input coins to particular outputs. Transfers, exchange labels and spent outputs do not establish a sale.
  5. Two providers are checked against the same public chain. This verifies records, not independent ownership or identity.

Cite: Degrees of Satoshi editorial project, “Old Bitcoin: What Happened Next?,” edition 1.0.0. Include the dataset SHA-256 and observation cutoff from the manifest. Download the independent reference calculation (Node 22; save the four data.json files as their product names beside the script). Aggregate calculations and code are reproducible; third-party sources retain their original rights.

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